Morgan Stanley Xing Ziqiang: China can fully withstand the improvement of the central financial deficit ratio. On December 13th, Xing Ziqiang, chief economist of Morgan Stanley China, said at the "Caijing Annual Meeting 2025: Forecast and Strategy" and the 2024 Global Wealth Management Forum that the Central Economic Work Conference broke the previous mindset of fiscal prudence. It is predicted that the budget of deficit ratio will reach a higher level next year, and may even exceed the level of 2020 (above 3.6%). With China's relatively strong national balance sheet, it can fully withstand the relatively high deficit ratio of the central government. Most other countries in the world have abandoned the so-called deficit ratio constraint of around 3% after facing the downturn of the real estate market and other factors.Research shows that the French "online celebrity" economy will earn nearly 6.5 billion euros in 2024. A research report released in Paris recently shows that the French "online celebrity" economy will earn nearly 6.5 billion euros in 2024, accounting for 0.16% of the country's gross domestic product (GDP).Port hedland's iron ore exports increased to 48.755 million tons in November.
Bee Assistant: We have conducted preliminary negotiations with Bean Bag on the field of smart devices, and relevant products have not yet been launched to the market. Bee Assistant said on the interactive platform on December 13th that the company has conducted preliminary negotiations with Bean Bag under ByteDance on the field of smart devices, but relevant products have not yet been launched to the market.Trump supports that American dockers' employers should not replace them with automated equipment. US President-elect Donald Trump met with the leaders of the International Dockers' Association on Thursday and expressed his support for the dockers' union. The union's strike in October led to the closure of ports in the east and the Gulf Coast, and may now strike again. Trump met with Harold Daggett, chairman of the labor union, and Dennis Daggett, his son and executive vice chairman, and then posted on social media: "I have studied automation and know almost everything about it. The money saved is far less than the anxiety, pain and harm it brings to American workers. " The union's strike in October closed all major container ports from Houston to Miami to Boston for three days, and then the union agreed to return to work in exchange for a 61.5% contract salary increase in the next six years.Technology giants have shown that Amazon and Meta each donated $1 million to Trump's inauguration fund. An Amazon spokesperson said that the company will donate $1 million to the inauguration fund of US President-elect Donald Trump. American technology companies hope to establish a positive relationship with the government, and Meta Platforms Inc has previously donated funds for inauguration activities. Trump said on Thursday that he will also meet with Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, highlighting his contacts with technology giants. Trump said in an interview that Bezos will come next week. An Amazon spokesperson said on Thursday that in addition to direct donations, Amazon will also broadcast the inauguration ceremony live. Amazon said that these donations are corporate activities and are not funded by Bezos. Trump said on Thursday that Zuckerberg, the founder of Facebook, also met with him and mentioned his friendship with elon musk, the founder of Tesla and SpaceX. Meta, which owns Facebook and Instagram, also donated $1 million to Trump's inauguration fund. "I want to hear ideas from them," Trump said of business leaders. "We hope they can do well."
Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.CICC: Depleting inventories to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. In terms of real estate, the meeting will "continue to push the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" as the primary task of risk prevention. The research department of CICC believes that destocking to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. First, control the supply of new land; second, optimize the supply structure of existing land and commercial housing; it is expected that the supply optimization policies such as land ticket, land exchange and commercial housing reform will be further promoted; third, dispose of existing commercial housing; it is expected that the efforts to store unsold commercial housing and existing second-hand housing for affordable housing will be increased; fourth, intensify the implementation of the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated houses.In 2024, the actual sales revenue of the console game market in China was 4.488 billion yuan, up 55.13% year-on-year. On December 12th, Tang Jiajun, deputy secretary-general of China Audio-visual and Digital Publishing Association and secretary-general of the Game Working Committee, released the Report on the Survey of the Global Console Game Market in 2024 and the Report on the Protection of Minors in China Game Industry in 2024, which pointed out that the actual sales revenue of the console game market in China in 2024 reached 4.488 billion yuan, up 55% year-on-year. In 2024, the number of console game users in China reached 11,546,300, up 14.05% year-on-year. The launch of the domestic game "Black Myth: Wukong" has greatly increased the market size, user size and even the sales of host equipment in China, and promoted the development of the host game market in China.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide